Most Expect Prayut to Stay in Power Through 2022: Poll

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Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha watches reporters as he walks through the Government Palace compound on December 21, 2021. (File photo: Chanat Katanyu)

Most people believe that General Prayut Chan-o-cha will remain in power throughout the year when the political situation will be as chaotic as in 2021, according to an opinion poll by the National Institute of development administration, or Nida Poll.

The survey was conducted by telephone interviews Jan. 4-6 with 1,325 people aged 18 and over from various levels of education and professions across the country. Respondents were asked how they expect the political, economic and Covid-19 situation to unfold in 2022.

On the political situation, the largest number of respondents – 46.34% – said they believed it would remain as chaotic as in 2021; 34.72% thought it would be even more chaotic; 10.04% thought it would be less chaotic; and 3.77% expected calm. The rest, 5.13%, either did not respond or were not interested.

Regarding the government of Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha, 45.36% believed that General Prayut would remain in power throughout the year; 11.47% believed that there would be a dissolution of the Chamber to make way for new elections; 7.85% said there would be cabinet shuffles; and 7.32% believed General Prayut would resign.

Another 6.64% believed that General Prayut would no longer be qualified for the post of Prime Minister after having held this post for eight years; 3.47% said there would be divisions in the coalition parties, leading to the collapse of the government; 3.17% said General Prayut would be ousted by the protesters; 1.28% said the government led by Prayut would be overthrown in a military coup; and 0.98% said General Prayut would lose the post of prime minister in a political maneuver.

The rest, 16.45%, either did not respond or were not interested.

Asked about the comparison between the economic situation in 2022 and 2021, 45.73% thought that the situation would be worse; 34.04% thought it would stay the same; and 20.23% thought it would improve.

Regarding the Covid-19 situation, 42.04% believed that the pandemic would become more serious; 24.98% thought it would be the same; 18.72% thought it would ease; and 14.26% thought it would no longer be alarming.

Asked about the situation concerning the demonstrations of the group of the “three fingers” in 2022, 46.64% of those questioned believe that the situation would remain the same as before; 14.34% said the protests would become more violent; 12.00% said they would be weakened; and 5.43% thought they would increase.

Another 3.92% said the protests would end; 3.55% believed the protest leaders would face more lawsuits; 1.58% believed the protesters would be able to overthrow the government; 1.58% said they would be aggressively dispersed; 1.13% said protesters’ demands would be met; and 0.91% said the protesters would come to an agreement with the government.

The remainder, 14.57%, either did not respond or were not interested.


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